Ora

Who Controls Lebanon?

Published in Lebanese Politics 4 mins read

Control over Lebanon is a complex and multifaceted issue, formally distributed among a power-sharing confessional government but significantly influenced by various internal political factions, sectarian leaders, and external regional and international powers. While the executive branch is led by the Prime Minister, real power is often shared and contested across different actors.

The Formal Structure of Governance

Lebanon operates under a unique sectarian power-sharing system, often referred to as confessionalism, where key governmental roles are constitutionally reserved for specific religious sects. This system aims to ensure representation for the country's diverse religious groups.

The main branches of the Lebanese government include:

  • President: The President must be a Maronite Christian. The role is largely symbolic but holds significant political weight, especially in forming governments.
  • Prime Minister: The Prime Minister must be a Sunni Muslim and heads the Council of Ministers (the Cabinet), which holds executive authority.
  • Speaker of Parliament: The Speaker of Parliament must be a Shia Muslim.

Current Executive Leadership:

| Title | Current Holder | Appointer/Selection Method H2: The Presidency of Lebanon | Currently, Najib Mikati | Prime Minister | Appointer | President, on parliament's advice | Cabinet |
|---|---|---|
| Title | Prime Minister | Currently | Najib Mikati | Appointer | President, on parliament's advice | Cabinet |
| Title | President | Appointer | Parliament (Maronite Christian) |
| Speaker of Parliament | Nabih Berri | Parliament (Shia Muslim) |

Currently, Najib Mikati serves as the Prime Minister, a role vital to the executive branch. He is appointed by the President following consultations with the Parliament, and he leads the Cabinet responsible for implementing government policies. The President of Lebanon is traditionally a Maronite Christian, while the Speaker of Parliament is a Shia Muslim. This system requires constant consensus-building among various sectarian and political blocs.

De Facto Power Dynamics and Influences

Beyond the formal structure, effective control in Lebanon is significantly shaped by a complex interplay of internal and external forces.

Internal Power Brokers

Several powerful entities and individuals wield substantial influence, often superseding the formal governmental structure in practice:

  • Hezbollah: Arguably the most potent single force in Lebanon, Hezbollah is a heavily armed Shiite political party and militant group with strong ties to Iran. It maintains a formidable military wing that rivals the national army and possesses significant political representation in Parliament and the Cabinet. Its decisions often have a veto power over major national issues.
  • Political Parties and Dynasties: Numerous other political parties, often aligned with specific sectarian communities or influential families, form powerful blocs. Examples include the Free Patriotic Movement, the Future Movement, the Progressive Socialist Party, the Lebanese Forces, and the Amal Movement. These parties often prioritize their communal or personal interests, leading to frequent stalemates and a fragmented political landscape.
  • Sectarian Leaders: Religious leaders and prominent figures within each sect hold considerable sway over their communities, influencing political discourse and electoral outcomes.

External Influences

Lebanon's geopolitical position has historically made it a battleground for regional and international rivalries, with external powers often supporting specific internal factions:

  • Regional Powers:
    • Iran: Exerts significant influence through its strong backing of Hezbollah, providing financial, military, and political support.
    • Saudi Arabia: Traditionally supports Sunni political factions and has historically been a key financial backer, though its influence has fluctuated.
    • Syria: Historically a dominant force in Lebanese affairs, Syria maintains political and security interests, particularly through allied factions.
  • International Powers:
    • United States: Focuses on counter-terrorism efforts, supporting the Lebanese Armed Forces, and promoting democratic reforms, often opposing Hezbollah's influence.
    • France: As the former mandatory power, France maintains strong cultural and political ties, often playing a mediating role in political crises.
    • Other European Countries: Provide humanitarian aid and support for institutional reforms, aiming for stability.

Challenges to Unified Control

The fragmented nature of power, coupled with severe economic crises, widespread corruption, and institutional paralysis, has made it exceptionally difficult for any single entity or even the formal government to exercise undisputed control. Decisions are often the result of delicate negotiations and compromises among various powerful actors, leading to slow governance and a lack of consistent national policy.

In essence, while the Prime Minister and the Cabinet represent the formal executive authority, control in Lebanon is a constantly shifting balance among powerful domestic and international actors, with Hezbollah emerging as a dominant force in recent decades.