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What is a Controlled Test Market?

Published in Market Research 4 mins read

A controlled test market is a real-world testing method where a new product, service, or marketing campaign is introduced to a select, pre-determined panel of retail stores, with sales and consumer behavior closely monitored by a research supplier. This approach is used most often with new product introductions to gauge market acceptance before a wider launch.

In this setup, a research supplier offers the marketer a panel of stores, which are typically representative of the target market. These suppliers monitor the checkout scanner data to measure initial and repeat purchases as well as the sales of competitive products. This allows companies to assess demand, track consumer response, and understand competitive dynamics in a controlled environment, minimizing the risks associated with a full-scale market entry.

How Controlled Test Markets Work

The process of conducting a controlled test market involves several key steps:

  • Supplier Selection: A company partners with a research supplier specializing in test market services.
  • Store Panel: The supplier provides a panel of retail stores (e.g., supermarkets, drugstores) that are geographically dispersed and statistically representative.
  • Product Placement: The new product is placed on the shelves of these selected stores, often alongside existing competitor products.
  • Data Collection: Advanced systems, primarily checkout scanner data, continuously track sales volume, pricing, promotional effectiveness, and inventory levels. This also includes monitoring the sales of competing products to understand the market share impact.
  • Consumer Insights: While the focus is on sales data, some controlled tests might incorporate consumer surveys or focus groups for qualitative feedback.
  • Analysis and Reporting: The supplier analyzes the collected data, providing the marketer with insights into product performance, sales forecasts, and recommendations for the broader launch.

Key Characteristics and Benefits

Controlled test markets offer several distinct advantages for businesses:

  • Reduced Risk: Companies can test a product's viability without the significant investment and exposure of a national launch.
  • Data Accuracy: Utilizing scanner data provides precise, real-time information on sales performance.
  • Competitive Analysis: Direct observation of how a new product performs against competitors in a live setting.
  • Cost-Effectiveness: Generally less expensive and faster than traditional full-scale test markets.
  • Controlled Environment: The research supplier manages product distribution and shelving, ensuring consistent conditions across the test stores.
  • Early Problem Identification: Allows for adjustments to the product, pricing, or marketing strategy before a broader rollout.

Practical Applications and Examples

Controlled test markets are particularly valuable for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) and other retail products.

Examples:

  • New Snack Food: A food manufacturer wants to introduce a new flavor of potato chips. They place it in a panel of 50 supermarkets across a few representative cities. The supplier tracks sales volume, customer loyalty (repeat purchases), and how it affects the sales of existing chip brands.
  • Personal Care Product: A cosmetics company launches a new shampoo line. Through a controlled test market, they monitor sales, evaluate the impact of different promotional displays, and compare its performance to rival brands in real retail environments.
  • Beverage Launch: A beverage company introduces a sugar-free soda. They use a controlled test market to see if consumers prefer it over other diet sodas, how it performs under various promotional pricing, and its cannibalization effect on their existing product lines.

Comparing Test Market Approaches

While controlled test markets offer significant advantages, it's helpful to understand their place alongside other test marketing methods:

Feature Controlled Test Market Standard Test Market Simulated Test Market (STM)
Environment Real stores, managed by research supplier Real stores, marketer manages distribution and selling Laboratory/hypothetical shopping environment
Cost Moderate High Low
Speed Moderate (weeks to a few months) Slow (6 months to over a year) Fast (days to weeks)
Control High (supplier manages all aspects) Low (difficult to control all variables) Very High (everything is controlled)
Data Type Scanner data, sales metrics, competitive sales Sales, consumer surveys, distribution issues Purchase intent, concept evaluation
Confidentiality Moderate (competitors can observe in test stores) Low (highly visible to competitors) High (product not released to market)
Best Use Case New product introductions, assessing sales performance, competitive reaction Final validation before national launch, assessing entire marketing mix Early screening, concept testing, initial sales forecasts

A controlled test market serves as a practical bridge between initial market research and a full-scale launch, providing crucial real-world data while maintaining a level of control and cost-efficiency.