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Who is favored Bengals or Broncos?

Published in NFL Matchup Predictions 2 mins read

The Cincinnati Bengals are favored to win their upcoming NFL Week 17 game against the Denver Broncos.

Based on current projections, the Bengals have a higher probability of securing a victory in this matchup.

NFL Week 17 Game Probabilities

Here's a breakdown of the win probabilities for the highly anticipated NFL Week 17 game between the Denver Broncos and the Cincinnati Bengals:

Team Win Probability
Cincinnati Bengals 57.1%
Denver Broncos 42.6%
Tie 0.3%
  • The remaining 0.3% probability accounts for the rare outcome of a tie in the game.

Understanding Favoritism in NFL Matchups

When one team is "favored," it indicates they are statistically more likely to win based on various analytical models. These models consider a multitude of factors, which typically include:

  • Recent Performance: A team's win-loss record, scoring trends, and defensive prowess in recent games.
  • Head-to-Head History: Past outcomes between the two specific teams, although recent form often weighs more heavily.
  • Team Statistics: Overall offensive and defensive rankings, turnovers, penalties, and efficiency metrics.
  • Home-Field Advantage: The boost a team typically receives when playing in front of their home crowd, often translating to a slight increase in win probability.
  • Key Player Health: The availability or absence of star players due to injury can significantly swing probabilities.
  • Coaching Strategies: The effectiveness of a coaching staff's game planning and in-game adjustments.

While the specific reasons for the Bengals' favoritism in this particular Week 17 encounter are not detailed, their higher assigned win probability suggests they are perceived as the stronger side going into the game.