The success rate of blackjacking in Old School RuneScape (OSRS) is directly dependent on your Thieving level, increasing linearly as your skill improves. At level 1 Thieving, the knockout success rate when blackjacking Menaphite Thugs is 31%. This rate steadily climbs, reaching an impressive 94% once you achieve level 99 Thieving.
Understanding the Linear Progression
The knockout success rate follows a consistent linear increase across all Thieving levels. This means for every level gained, there's a predictable improvement in your chance to successfully stun a Menaphite Thug.
The formula for calculating your exact knockout success rate (S) at a given Thieving level (L) is:
S = (9L + 425) / 14
Where S is the success rate in percentage.
Success Rate by Thieving Level
To illustrate this progression, consider the following table showcasing the knockout success rate at various Thieving levels:
| Thieving Level | Knockout Success Rate (%) |
|---|---|
| 1 | 31.00% |
| 15 | 40.00% |
| 30 | ~49.64% |
| 45 | ~59.29% |
| 60 | ~68.93% |
| 75 | ~78.57% |
| 90 | ~88.21% |
| 99 | 94.00% |
(Note: Intermediate percentages are approximate when rounded, but are exact when expressed as fractions using the formula.)
Practical Implications for Blackjacking
- Early Levels (1-65): Blackjacking can be quite frustrating at lower Thieving levels due to the relatively low success rate, leading to frequent combat encounters with thugs. Players often use defensive gear or a high Combat level to mitigate damage.
- Mid Levels (65-80): As your Thieving level increases, blackjacking becomes more efficient. The success rate becomes more forgiving, reducing the frequency of knockback and combat.
- High Levels (80-99): At higher Thieving levels, blackjacking is highly consistent. The near-guaranteed knockouts at level 99 make it one of the most effective methods for gaining Thieving experience in OSRS, allowing for extended periods of uninterrupted training.
Understanding this linear progression is crucial for players planning their Thieving training, as it highlights the significant benefits of higher Thieving levels for more efficient blackjacking sessions. For more detailed information on blackjacking mechanics and strategies, you can refer to the Blackjack OSRS Wiki page.
